Will even where the Hezbollah succeed in push his “war of the roquettes”?  Such is the one of the central questions of the crisis to the Near East.  Since the Israeli collection of Lebanon south, in 2000, the attacks to the roquette of the Hezbollah threatened a wide border band of 20 kilometers.  This time, the shooting of the “Party of God” Lebanese hit with the Israeli cities situated to 40 km of the border.  And of other missiles, again never used by the Hezbollah, could threaten Such Aviv or Jerusalem.  If such was the case, the Iran and the Syria, “godfathers” Hezbollah, would risk being induced in the conflict.

According to Mary joëlle Zahar, specialist of the Lebanon to the department of sciences politics of the university of Montreal, the “red line” separating “the state of non declared war (current) of a regional embrasement”, consequence”.

Of a strike on Tel Aviv for example, has “not again crossed summer”.  But already, the military operations Israeli in the region were in left driven, so far, in response to the threat of the shooting of the Hezbollah.   The “Party of God” constituted itself an arsenal of Katioucha to explosive head, of 107 mm or of 122 mm, of a reach Limited of 10 or 20 km.  According to Jane’s Defence Weekly, British newspaper specialized in the questions of IED jamming defense, the Hezbollah held, before the crisis, of 10 000 to 15 000 pieces, a figure in accordance with the declarations of the boss of the Hezbollah, in May 2005, that asserted that his movement was in possession of 12 000 Katioucha.

But are the Katioucha again the nerve of the operations of the Hezbollah?  “With the passing of the days, the Hezbollah tends to pull less than roquettes, but their reach spreads itself”, notes a military observer to the Near East.  The turning was taken July 13, at the time of the first attack against Haïfa, when the third city of Israel was touched for the first time since Lebanon south by a shooting of missiles Fajr (equally called Raad by the Hezbollah), climbed on installed ramps of launch on trucks.  The same day, a building of the navy Israeli was hit at sea, in spite of its scrambling frequency jamming systems, by a missile C802 pulled since the earth.

The Hezbollah henceforth is equipped Fajr 3 of 240 mm, of a reach of 40 km: it is a matter of a roquette of 5.20 m Of height, weighing 400 kg and carrier of an explosive load of 40 kg.  The Shiite movement possesses equally Fajr 5, of 333 mm, of which the reach is of 75 km.  Especially, the Hezbollah henceforth is equipped missiles Zelzal 1 and 2 factories and furnish by the Iran, according to of the Corroborating sources.  These missiles, inspired of a Soviet former model, the Frog 5, have a reach being situated Between 150 and 200 km and allow threatening Such Aviv, despite their system of approximate guidage.  The Hezbollah, According to a source of the piece of information, some possessed “less than fifty” at first crisis.  None of them has again pulled summer, according to the same source, but “a ten (of Zelzal) were destroyed at the time of a bombardment Israeli, yesterday (Tuesday)”.

The means of which disposes the Shiite militia are important, in reason notably of the support of the Iran that, according to Anthony Cordesman, Center of the strategic and international studies (CSIS), furnishes to the Hezbollah “an assistance Financial as well as equipment and services for a value being situated between 25 million and 50 millions of dollars.”  The roquettes and, henceforth, the missiles next are transported essentially since the Syria, before being dispersed in the whole Lebanon.  The Katioucha are stocked in bunkers of the south of the country, to be brought quickly close to the border, from which they are pulled.

The missiles or the roquettes to longer reach, on the contrary, are moved away from this likely zone to be Invaded by the Israeli army.  A part of the Fajr is divided enters installed stocks in the plain of the Bekaa, in the east of Lebanon, and in the vicinity of Beirut.  For “to paralyze the internal re-provisioning (of the Hezbollah arm some)”, according to a specialist of the military questions in the region, the Israeli army destroys the bridges and the road axes, ways the more small letters until the big arteries, start with the taking road of Beirut to the Syria.  According to a regional observer, this solid political one to “to break Lebanon” bears fruit previously, in having “disrupted seriously all the logistical one of the Hezbollah”.  At the same time, Tsahal undertook to empty of its inhabitants the band bordering Lebanon south for there to prevent the deployment of the teams pulling the Katioucha.  The general Gadi Eisenkot, boss of the operations to the state- Israeli officer, that accused the Syria to follow the “illegal dealings in weapons intended for the Hezbollah”, declared that the Israeli army continued it “systematic destruction of all the positions of the Hezistrent with Their movable ones preach them, regret the former rg.

In 2007, the first old secretary of the PS, François Holland, has, him also, render mute the portable ones to the seat PS by an activated rf jammer at the time of the important meetings on Tuesdays.  And no one nothing found to Repeat.  A representative fabiusien itself in entertains:  “To complain, it was to run the risk to be taken for a spy…”